Justice For Kids

POLISH Miracle Prevents Crippling of KIDS

  •               Justice for Kids Now Bulletin                          23 March 2016

     

                     Cerebral Palsy Miracle in Poland

                                Brent Rooney (MSc)

     

         In 1988 & 1989 reproductive rights true believers warned

    that a new extremely restrictive abortion access law in Poland

    would have dire health consequences. If true, voluminous 'I told

    you so' gloatings were sure to follow. Between 1989 & 1993 the

    number Polish induced abortions per 1,000 live births plunged

    by 98%. In 2008 Brent Rooney suspected that Poland's very low

    IA (Induced Abortion) rate over ~8-10 years could have

    significantly cut the rate of young children with Cerebral Palsy.

    Fewer prior abortions = Fewer premature babies = Fewer kids

    with CP. Babies born under 32 weeks' gestation have 55 times

    the CP risk as do full-term newborn babies.[1, Himpens] So,

    in 2008 via email I requested that Poland's CSO (Central

    Statistical Office) email to me Polish CP stats, which they did

    email to me. Again, in 2015 I asked Poland's CSO for CP

    statistics (for the years 2006-2013). In the Appendix are the raw

    CP numbers emailed to me by Poland's CSO. The stats show

    that from 1994 to 2013 the rate of Polish children under age 5

    with CP dying yearly plunged by about 85%.

     

         What does the 85% CP death rate plunge imply? The more

    severe a child's CP condition, the higher his/her risk of dying.

    Thus, the 85% plunge implies a very sharp drop in the rate of

    young Polish children with severe CP conditions. Does a strong

    trend such as this definitely prove cause & effect? No, but it

    is very suggestive that the plunged IA rate contributed to the

    reduced CP rate in Poland. But, perhaps Poland is a country in

    which prior IAs (Induced Abortions) have no effect on premature

    birth risk. In 1987 (2 years before the new Polish abortion law)

    Polish researcher reported that Polish women with prior induced

    abortions multiply their preterm delivery risk by 1.88.[2,

    Krasomski]

     

    Dr. Henry Morgentaler

         Some outside Canada will know the name Dr. Henry

    Morgentaler. In a legal case brought before Canada's Supreme

    Court, Dr. Morgentaler in 1988 achieved 'abortion on demand'

    (the Canadian equivalent of the U.S. Roe V Wade decision in

    January 1973); https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/R_v_Morgentaler .

    Where was Henry Morgentaler born? Answer: Poland.

     

    ACP (Abortion-CP) Hypothesis Not Contested

         In a 2001 published letter in a peer-reviewed medical journal

    Brent Rooney demonstrated that prior induced abortion is a

    credible CP risk factor, since prior induced abortions increase

    future risk of preterm birth.[4, Rooney] That letter was not then

    nor subsequently directly challenged. In 2014 Egyptian

    researchers reported that Egyptian women with prior abortions

    have 2.45 times the risk of having newborn babies later diagnosed

    with CP compared to Egyptian women with zero prior abortions.

    [5, El-Tallawy] CP is a brain injury that manifests as improper

    posture, balance, & movement.

     

     

    Cordially,

    Brent Rooney (MSc)

    Research Director, Reduce Preterm Risk Coalition

    3456 Dunbar St. (Suite 146)

    Vancouver, Canada V6S 2C2

     

    Appendix: Polish CP data for the years 1985-2013

    [The adjusted data for years 1997-2013 were computed

    by Brent Rooney; without that adjustment the plunge in

    CP death rate would have appeared to be much more]

     

                                                   CP-Deaths/             CP-Deaths/

    Year  CP Deaths   Live Births 100,000 Births 100,000 Births Adjusted*

    1985 104                  680,091        15.3

    1986 130                  637,213        20.4

    1987   95                  607,790        15.6

    1988   98                  589,938        16.6

    1989   93                  564,431        16.5

    1990   72                  547,720        13.1

    1991   54                  547,719          9.9

    1992   68                  515,214        13.2

    1993   51                  494,310        10.3

    1994   47                  481,285          9.8

    1995   47                  433,109        10.9

    1996   42                  428,203          9.8                         Adjusted*

    ..................................................................................

    1997*  20                  412,635         4.8                          10.1  ICD-10

    1998   23                   395,619        5.8                           12.2

    1999   16                   382,002        4.2                             8.8

    2000   17                   378,348        4.5                             9.5

    2001   16                   368,205        4.3                             9.0

    2002   19                   353,765        5.4                           11.3

    2003   15                   351,072        4.3                             9.

    2004     5                   356,131        1.4                             2.9

    2005     9                   364,383        2.5                             5.3

    2006     9                   374,244        2.4                             5.0

    2007   11                   387,873        2.8                             5.9

    2008   12                   414.499        2.9                             6.1

    2009     5                   417,589        1.2                             2.5

    2010     4                   413,300        1.0                             2.1

    2011     3                   388,416        0.8                             1.7

    2012     5                   386,257        1.3                             2.7

    2013     6                   379,576        1.6                             3.4

     

     

    * In 1997 Poland switched to the ICD-10 (International

    Classification of Disease) definition of Cerebral Palsy. To make

    CP-Death Rates per 100,000 children under the age 5 years with

    CP after 1996 comparable to statistics from 1985-1996, an

    adjustment was made. Without this adjustment the plunge in

    CP-Death rates would appear greater than it actually was.

     

     

    References

    1 Himpens E, Van Den Broeck C, Oostra A, Claders P, Vanhaesebrouck

    P. Prevalence, type, and distribution and severity of cerebral palsy in

    relation to gestational age: a meta-analytic review. Dev Med Child

    Neurol 2008;50:334-340. [ URL:

    http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1469-8749.2008.02047.x/pdf ]


    2 Krasomski G, Gladysiak A, Krajerski J. Fate of subsequent

    pregnancies after induced abortion in primiparae. Wiad Lek

    1 December 1987;40(23):1593-1595

     

    3 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/R_v_Morgentaler

    4 Rooney B. Elective surgery boosts cerebral palsy risk.

    European Journal Obstetrics Gynecology Reproductive Biology

    2001;96(2):239-240

     

    5 El-Tallawy HN, Farghaly WMA, Shehata GA, Rageh TA,

    Metwally NA. Cerebral Palsy in Al-Quseir City, Egypt: prevalence,

    subtypes, and risk factors. Neuropsychiatric Disease Treatment

    2014;10:1267-1272
    http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4099193/pdf/ndt-10-1267.pdf

  • ..._________________________________________________________________________________

     

  •                                                       5 October 2015

    Subject: Crocodile Tears for Crippled Kids

     

    Open Letter to Dr. Ben Carson,

     

         At best, Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, et al. only

    have 'crocodile tears' for crippled kids, whereas you

    have removed cancerous tumors from the brains of

    American kids. You can tell the American people how

    fewer Black-American children can have the brain

    injury Cerebral Palsy (CP) by spending LE$$

    MONEY; your Republican competitors, lacking

    medical expertise, are much less qualified than you

    are. Preemies, babies born prematurely at less than

    37 weeks' gestation, have relatively high Cerebral

    Palsy risk. A major cause of the very high

    premature birth rate in Black-American babies is

    that Black-American women have over 4 times

    the abortion rate as non-Black women; [URL: http://www.jpands.org/vol13no4/rooney.pdf .

    [1, Rooney] That December 2008 study by Brent

    Rooney (MSc) and Dr. Byron Calhoun has never been

    challenged in 82 months. Preterm birth has been an

    accepted Cerebral Palsy) risk for over 50 years. Via

    2 systematic reviews in 2009 the 'abortion-preemie' risk

    became SETTLED SCIENCE.[2, Shah; 3, Swingle]

    Bottom Line: More Abortions breed more future

    premature babies and more infants with Cerebral Palsy.

     

         Will you be 'going out on a limb' by telling the

    public that fewer Black-American preemies means

    less Cerebral Palsy? Here is what Dr. Maureen Durkin

    and her medical colleagues wrote this year about

    cutting the Black-American CP rate:

       “This suggests that the greatest risk of CP [Cerebral Palsy] in

       black children is mediated by preterm birth and associated

       perinatal factors, and that elimination of the greater risk of

       CP in black children will require elimination of the greater

       risk of preterm birth and associated perinatal risk factors

       experienced by black infants.”[4, Durkin]

     

         Harvard University researchers led by Dr. Ellice

    Lieberman reported in the New England Journal of

    Medicine that Black-American women with more than

    2 prior induced abortions have 1.9 times the odds of a

    premature delivery compared to Black women with

    zero prior abortions.[5, Lieberman]

     

         Over to you Dr. Ben Carson, a true healer who has

    removed cancerous tumors from that brains of many

    American children. Hillary Clinton only has 'crocodile

    tears' for crippled kids, but you can help prevent

    Cerebral Palsy by warning Americans about the

    abortion-preemie risk. [ I can be reached at

    fullterm40@gmail.com ]

     

    Cordially,

    Brent Rooney (MSc)

    Research Director, Reduce Preterm Risk Coalition

    3456 Dunbar St. (Suite 146)

    Vancouver, Canada V6S 2C2

    Email: fullterm40@gmail.com

    P.S. In the 2nd quarter of 2001 in a peer-reviewed

    European medical journal Brent Rooney became the

    first one ever to alert the medical community that

    prior induced abortion is a credible risk (via the

    premature birth side-effect) to boost a woman's

    odds of delivery of a preterm baby with Cerebral

    Palsy.[6, Rooney]

     

    References

    1 Rooney B, Calhoun BC, Roche L. Does induced abortion

    account for racial disparity in preterm births, and violate the

    Nuremberg Code? J Am Phys Surg 2008;13:102-104. [ URL: http://www.jpands.org/vol13no4/rooney.pdf ]

     

    2 Shah PS, Zao J. Induced termination of pregnancy and low

    birthweight and preterm birth: a systematic review and meta-

    analysis. BJOG 2009;116:1425-1442. [URL:

    http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1471-0528.2009.02278.x/pdf ]

     

    3 Swingle HM, Colaizy TT, Zimmerman MB, et al Abortion

    and the risk of subsequent preterm birth: a systematic review

    and meta-analysis. J Reproductive Med 2009;54:95-108.

    [ URL: http://johnrodgerssmith.com/MedicalObservations/Swingle/JRM%20Swingle%20paper%202009.pdf ]

     

    4 Durkin MS, Maenner MJ, Benedict RE, Braun KVN, et al.

    The role of socio-economic status and perinatal factors in the

    risk of Cerebral Palsy. Developmental Medicine & Child

    Neurology. 23 March 2015

     

    5 Lieberman E, Ryan KJ, Monson RR, Schoenbaum SC. Risk

    Factors Accounting For Racial Differences in the rate of

    premature birth. NEJM 1987;317:743-748. [ Abstract URL:

    http://www.nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.1056/NEJM198709173171206 ]

     

    6 Rooney B. Elective surgery boosts cerebral palsy risk.

    European Journal Obstetrics Gynecology Reproductive Biology

    2001;96(2):239-240

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  •                                                                                                              18 November 2013

                      'Fear Mongering' & Brain Damaged Babies

             Brent Rooney ( email: <fullterm40@gmail.com> )

                               web:  http://www.aaplog.org/media/

     

    'Baby-Boomers' (those born between 1946 & 1964) know

    all about the Thalidomide ('T') birth defect disaster;

    ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baby_boomer ). About 10,000

    newborn babies between late 1957 and 1962 were badly birth

    defected because their PREGNANT mothers took 'T' (Thalidomide)

    for 'morning sickness' (i.e. nausea). Europe & the U.K. were

    hardest hit with Canada and the U.S. only lightly affected

    (comparatively). Canadian born Dr. Frances Kelsey, an FDA official,

    prevented the commercial sale of 'T' in the U.S. via her consistent

    demand for proof of safety, which drug seller Merrill-Richardson

    could never deliver. ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thalidomide ).

     

    A new 2013 book (Complications: Abortion's Impact on Women)

    by Dr. Angela Lanfranchi and staff at the de Veber Institute

    (Toronto, Canada) estimates that about 15,000 very low birth

    weight newborn babies yearly are later diagnosed with CP

    (Cerebral Palsy) due to their mothers' prior induced abortions. I.E.

    in just 12 months the Cerebral Palsy fallout of prior 'therapeutic' (!!)

    abortions exceeds by 50% the horrendous horror of the Thalidomide

    tragedy over about 4 years.

     

    Is the de Veber Institute estimate of 15,000 excess Cerebral Palsy

    cases yearly 'fear mongering' or is it supported by medical science?

    In October 2008 in a peer-reviewed study Dr. Byron Calhoun, Dr.

    Elizabeth Shadigian, and Brent Rooney estimated that in 2002 there

    were 1,096 excess cases of U.S. very low birth weight (under 1,500

    grams) newborns later diagnosed with Cerebral Palsy due to their

    mothers' prior IAs (Induced Abortions).[1, Calhoun] In the 5+ years

    since October 2008 publication the 'Calhoun' study has never been

    challenged by Carol J.R. Hogue (Emory U.), Dr. David Grimes, or

    anyone else via a 'letter to the editor' (Journal of Reproductive Medicine).

     

    The 1,096 excess CP cases inflicted on tiny newborns is a

    total for just once country (U.S.A.) and for just one year (2002).

    With about 1.2 million IAs yearly the U.S. IA total is only ~3%

    of the world estimated 40 million IA total. Thus, 15,000 excess

    yearly cases of CP in premature newborns (under 3 lbs. 5 ozs.) due

    to prior induced abortions is a likely UNDERESTIMATE, with

    over 25,000 CP excess cases being more realistic.

     

    What's the Mechanism?

    The evidence is overwhelming that a prior induced abortion

    raises a woman's future risk of a premature delivery. In 2007,

    a year before the 'Calhoun' 2008 study, the prestigious [U.S.]

    Institute of Medicine (IoM, a unit of the [U.S.] National Academy

    of Sciences) in its premature birth textbook identified fourteen

    (14) “Immutable Medical Risk Factors Associated with Preterm

    Birth”.[2, Behrman] The third listed risk of 14 is:

     

    Prior first trimester induced abortion”

    [ http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=11622&page=625 ]

     

    As prestigious as it is, the IoM is one source. In 2009 two 'gold

    standard' 'study of studies' confirmed higher premature birth risk for

    women with prior induced abortions.[3, Swingle; 4, Shah] The

    'Swingle' 'study of studies' and the 'Shah' 'study of studies' carry the

    highest level of confidence because both these papers are

    SYSTEMATIC REVIEWS with META-ANALYSIS (SRMA).

    According to Dr. Robert Fletcher & Dr. Suzanne Fletcher (Harvard

    University), the category of medical study providing the highest level

    of confidence, pro or con, about a purported medical risk is a

    SYSTEMATIC REVIEW [with META-ANALYSIS].[5, Fletcher]

    Thus, as of 2009 the 'Abortion-Preemie' risk is SETTLED SCIENCE.

     

    It has been known for at least five (5) decades that the more

    premature a baby, the higher his/her CP risk is. In the 2008 Eveline

    Himpens 'study of studies' the researchers reported that those

    born between 28 and 32 weeks' gestation have 55 time the CP

    risk of fullterm newborns, but newborn babies under 28 weeks'

    gestation have 129 times the CP risk as full-termers.[6, Himpens]

     

    Bottom Line: Fewer Induced Abortions = Fewer Infant CP Victims

    The Keith Neely video exposing the Abortion-Preemie risk:

    web: http://www.aaplog.org/media/

     

    [Preterm babies (born under 37 weeks' gestation) have higher risk

    of 'MACE' (Mental retardation, Autism, Cerebral Palsy, Epilepsy)

    disorders, in addition to elevated odds of blindness, deafness,

    respiratory distress, gastrointestinal injury, and serious infections.

    The 15,000 'low-ball' estimate only includes excess CP cases;

    excess Autism cases, excess Mental Retardation cases, etc.

    are excluded from that estimate]

     

    ..____________________________________________________..

     

    Brent Rooney (MSc)

    Research Director, Reduce Preterm Risk Coalition

    3456 Dunbar St. (Suite 146)

    Vancouver, Canada V6S 2C2

    email: fullterm40@gmail.com

    web:   http://www.aaplog.org/media/

                      http://www.justiceforkids.webs.com/

                      Http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Academy_of_Sciences

     

    References

     

    1 Calhoun BC, et al. Cost consequences of induced abortion as an

    attributable risk for preterm birth and informed consent. J Reproductive

    Medicine 2007;52:929-939. [Abstract:

    http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed?term=calhoun%20shadigian%20rooney]

     

    2 Behrman RS, Butler AS, Alexandar GR. Preterm Birth: Causes,

    Consequences, and Prevention. National Academy Press, Washington DC

    (2007) [URL:

    http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=11622&page=625 ]

     

    3 Swingle HM, Colaizy TT, Zimmerman MB, Moriss FH. Abortion and the

    risk of subsequent preterm birth: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

    J Reproductive Medicine 2009;54:95-108

     

    4 Shah PS, Zao J. Induced termination of pregnancy and low birthweight

    and preterm birth: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BJOG [British J

    Obstetrics Gynaecology] 2009;116:1425-1442

    [ URL: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1471-0528.2009.02278.x/pdf ]

     

    5 [Book:] Fletcher RH, Fletcher SW. Clinical Epidemiology The Essentials

    [Fourth Edition]. Lippincott Williams & Wilkens, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 2005

     

    6 Himpens E, Van Den Broeck C, Oostra A, Claders P, Vanhaesebrouck

    P. Prevalence, type, and distribution and severity of cerebral palsy in

    relation to gestational age: a meta-analytic review. Dev Med Child

    Neurol 2008;50:334-340.

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  •                                                               10 September 2013
  • [ http://justiceforkids.webs.com/michiganmedicalmystery.htm ]

     
  • Subject: Dr. Timothy Johnson & Crippled Black Infants in Detroit

     

    Cc:         Alveda King, Pastor Dr. Levon Yuille


    Open letter to Dr. Timothy R,B, Johnson (U. Michigan),

     

          Black American newborns 'Peter' & 'Paula' in Detroit, Michigan

    have higher CP (Cerebral Palsy) risk than Latino newborns

    'Tom' & 'Teresa'. Why? Black-American newborn babies have

    very high risk of premature birth compared to other U.S. groups

    (including Latinos). Premature delivery boosts odds of MACE

    (Mental retardation, Autism, Cerebral Palsy, Epilepsy) disorders

    & raises risk of blindness, deafness, respiratory distress, &

    serious infections.

     

          For at least two (2) decades Michigan gov't officials have sought

    an explanation for the high Black-American 'preemie' rate, but with

    very little satisfaction. The gold standard (i.e. best evidence) for

    settling medical controversies is the category of study termed SRMA

    (Systematic Review & Meta-Analysis).[1, Fletcher] For the 'Abortion-

    Preemie' risk there are exactly two (2) SRMAs.[2, Swingle; 3, Shah]

    Both of these SRMAs reported that women with prior IAs (Induced

    Abortions) have significantly higher 'preemie' risk than women with

    zero prior IAs. An electronic copy of the Dr. Prakesh Shah study:

    http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1471-0528.2009.02278.x/pdf .

     

    100 professors (including Dr. Timothy Johnson) in a September 2013

    letter (American Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology) were unable to

    cite one 'Abortion-Preemie' SRMA that did NOT find significantly

    higher preterm birth risk for women with prior induced abortions; URL:

    http://www.ajog.org/article/S0002-9378%2813%2900261-5/fulltext#back-bib1 .

    Thus, you were consistent and ethical in NOT denying significant

    'Abortion-Preemie' risk. That single medical journal with your co-signed

    letter (AJOG) itself has published six (6) statistically significant studies

    validating the 'Abortion-Preemie' risk.[7-12]

     

          The BURDEN of PROOF remains on the shoulder of IA supporters

    to demonstrate no 'Abortion-Preemie' risk. In the 53 years since the

    announcement of 'suction' (i.e. vacuum aspiration) abortion (in 1958 in

    China) no SRMA has ever cleared IA of raising premature delivery risk.

     

          It may interest you to know that NEW (i.e. under 11 years) immigrants

    from Mexico to the U.S. have an unexpectedly very low 'preemie' rate of

    5.1%.[4, Wommack} Why? It was revealed in September 2013 that a

    major reason for this is that in most areas of Mexico induced abortion is not

    legal.[5, Rooney; URL: http://www.jpands.org/vol18no3/correspondence.pdf ]

     

          Professor Dr. Timothy Johnson, do you not agree that a much lower

    preterm birth rate for Black-American women via avoiding quack elective

    surgery would be a welcome development? 'Suction' abortion has never

    been safety validated via a single published animal study.[6, Rooney; URL:

    http://www.jpands.org/vol13no4/rooney.pdf ] There are at least 142 statistically

    significant published studies finding that prior IAs raise risk of preterm

    birth (under 37 weeks' gestation) and/or low birth weight (under 2,500

    grams); URL: http://justiceforkids.webs.com/chapter4140studies.htm .

    If the Red Sox have 142 runs and the N.Y. Yankees have no more than

    one run at the top of the 9th inning, who is winning the ball game?

     

    For Informed Medical Consent,

    Brent Rooney (MSc)

    Research Director, Reduce Preterm Risk Coalition

    3456 Dunbar St. (Suite 146)

    Vancouver, Canada V6S 2C2

    email: fullterm40@gmail.com

    http://www.aaplog.org/media

    http://www.ncfpc.org/FNC/1305-FNC-Spring13-Abortion%27sImpactOnPrematurity2.pdf

     

     

    References

     

    1 [Book:] Fletcher RH, Fletcher SW. Clinical Epidemiology The Essentials

    [Fourth Edition]. Lippincott, Williams & Wilkens, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 2005

     

     

    2 Swingle HM, Colaizy TT, Zimmerman MB, Moriss FH. Abortion

    and the risk of subsequent preterm birth: a systematic review

    and meta-analysis. J Reproductive Med 2009;54:95-108.

     

    3 Shah PS, Zao J. Induced termination of pregnancy and low

    birthweight and preterm birth: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

    BJOG [British Journal of Obstetrics & Gynaecology] 2009;116:

    1425-1442. [URL:

    http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1471-0528.2009.02278.x/pdf ]

     

    4 Wommack JC, Ruiz CJ, Marti N, Stowe RP, Brown CEL, et al.

    Interleukin-10 Predicts Preterm Birth in Acculturated Hispanics.

    Biological Research for Nursing Jan 2013;15(1):78-85

    [abstract URL: http://brn.sagepub.com/content/15/1/78.abstract ]

     

    5 Rooney B. “Hispanic Paradox” and Irish Preterm Birth Data. J American

    Physicians Surgeons 2013;18(3):65 [ URL:

    http://www.jpands.org/vol18no3/correspondence.pdf ]

     

    6 Rooney B, Calhoun BC, Roche L. Does induced abortion account for

    racial disparity in preterm births, and violate the Nuremberg Code?

    J Am Phys Surg 2008;13:102-104

    [URL: http://www.jpands.org/vol13no4/rooney.pdf ]

     

  • 7 Pantelakis SN, Papadimitriou GC, Doxiadis SA.Influence of
    induced and spontaneous abortions on the outcome of
    subsequent pregnancies. Amer J Obstet Gynecol. 1973;116:
    799-805.

    8 Mueller-Heubach E, Guzick DS. Evaluation of risk scoring
    in a preterm birth prevention study of indigent patients. Amer
    J Obstetrics & Gynecol 1989;160:829-837.

    9 Madore C, Hawes WE, Many F, Hexter AC. A study on the effects
    of induced abortion on subsequent pregnancy outcome. Amer J Obstet
    Gynecol 1981;139(5):516-521

    10 Mueller-Heubach E, Guzick DS. Evaluation of risk scoring in
    a preterm birth prevention study of indigent patients. Am J
    Obstet & Gynecol 1989;160:829-837.

    11 Harger JH, Hsing AW, Tuomala RE, Gibbs RS, et al. Risk factors
    for preterm premature rupture of fetal membranes: A multicenter
    case-control study. Am J Obstet Gynecol 1990;163:130-137

    12 Meis PJ, Michielutte R, Peters TJ, Wells HB. Factors associated
    with preterm birth in Cardiff, Wales. Amer J Obstet Gynecol 1995;
    173:590-596

     

    [End of OPEN LETTER to Professor Robert R.B. Johnson
  • ..._______________________________________________________________...
  •  
  • Chapter 12                   Justice For Kids Now            15 April 2010
  •  
  • Polish Pope Prevents Severe Cerebral Palsy
  •      Brent Rooney (MSc), fullterm40@gmail.com
  •  
  • In April 2010 the plane crash death of Polish President Lech
  • Kacyznski and many Polish government officials will keep
  • a tremendous Polish achievement hidden from public view.

  • Between 1989 and 2006 Poland accomplished what the much
  • more advanced USA has never achieved: the incidence of
  • SEVERE Cerebral Palsy ( CP ) in children under age 5 years
  • was slashed by an astonishing 71%. Pope John Paul II (born
  • in Poland) played a major role in this 'medical miracle'. Here's
  • the background: Even critics concede that Pope John Paul II
  • accelerated the decline and defeat of Communism in Europe
  • with Poland becoming free of the Soviet yoke in 1989. In
  • 1989 a new Polish law strictly limiting access to abortion came
  • into effect. (Brent Rooney in NOT a Catholic). Result: in the
  • years 1989-1993 the total of Polish IAs (Induced Abortions)
  • per 1,000 births plunged by 98% according to the UN Demo-
  • graphic Yearbook. Before the new law was passed abortion
  • supporters predicted dire warnings that women's health would
  • degenerate, if the legislation was made law. Premature birth
  • is the most important CP risk factor for a newborn baby. If
  • abortion increases the risk of premature birth (it does!!), then
  • one would expect to see Poland's preterm birth rate decline
  • 5 to 10 years after the steep decline is yearly induced abortions
  • began (i.e. some year between 1994 and 1999 in Poland's
  • case).

  • Between 1995 and 1997 Poland's maternal mortality plunged
  • by 41% and the rate of extremely premature (under 28 weeks'
  • gestation) plummeted by 21%, a result never matched by the
  • U.S. in the last 40 years. In a very large 2008 study Dr.
  • Eveline Himpens and colleagues reported that extremely
  • premature newborns had 129 times the CP risk as did full-term
  • newborn babies. Compared to the death rate of children
  • under age 5 years with CP ( 1985-1988 ) the 1996 death
  • rate was 42.4% lower; the CP death rate for such
  • children in 2006 was 71% lower than the average CP death
  • rate in 1985-1988 ( 17 per 100,000 Polish children under age
  • 5 years). This implied that the incidence of SEVERE CP
  • declined by about 71%, since the more severe a case of CP
  • the higher the risk of death under age 5 years.

  • From whence comes Poland's CP death rate data for children
  • under age 5 years for the years 1985 to 2006? As result of a
  • request from Brent Rooney, Poland's Deputy Director of the
  • CSO (Central Statistical Office), "Witold Marek Wozniak"
  • (Email: <M.Wolowicz@stat.gov.pl> ), sent CP death data
  • for the years 1985-2006 on 12 June 2008. Those who are
  • skeptical of the statistics above from Poland can contact
  • Deputy Director directly and ask him for the data. [a copy
  • of Wozniak's Excel data is in the Appendix to this Bulletin.]

  • In 2002 Dr Bo Jacobsson ( <bo.jacobsson@obgyn.gu.se> )
  • and colleagues reported that Swedish women with prior IAs
  • have 60% higher relative odds (i.e. 1.6 times the odds) of
  • having a newborn baby with Cerebral Palsy compared to
  • Swedish women with zero prior induced abortions.[1] Dr.
  • Jacobsson was approximately 93% confident of higher CP
  • risk for women with prior IAs compared to women with
  • zero prior induced abortions..[1]
  • ...................................................................................

  • Brent Rooney (MSc)
  • Research Director, Reduce Preterm Risk Coalition
  • 3456 Dunbar St. (Suite 146)
  • Vancouver, Canada V6S 2C2
  • web: http://www.justiceforkids.webs.com
  •              http://www.jpands.org/vol13no4/rooney.pdf
  • email: fullterm40@gamil.com

  • Reference
  • 1 B Jacobsson, G Hagberg, B Hagberg, L Ladfors,
  • A Niklasson, H Hagberg. Cerebral palsy in preterm
  • infants: a population-based case-control study
  • of antenatal and intrapartal risk factors. Acta
  • Paediatrica 2002;91:946-951


  • Appendix: Polish CP death data

  • The following data was sent by Poland's CSO (Central
  • Statistical Office) Deputy Director Witold Wozniak to
  • Brent Rooney ( fullterm40@gamil.com ) on 12 June 2008
  • (deaths of Polish children under age 5 with Cerebral
  • Palsy (CP)):

  •               Deaths for
  •              children under
  • age    5 years old           Live       Deaths/
  • Year      with CP            Births     100,000
  • 1985        104             680,091    15.3
  • 1986        130             637,213    20.4
  • 1987          95             607,790    15.6
  • 1988          98             598,938    16.6
  • 1989          93             564,431    16.5
  • 1990          72             547,720    13.1
  • 1991          54             547,719      9.9
  • 1992          68             515,214    13.2
  • 1993          51             494,310    10.3
  • 1994          47             481,285      9.8
  • 1995          47             438,109    10.9
  • 1996          42             428.203      9.8
  • 1997*        20              412.635     4.8
  • 1998          23              395,619     5.8
  • 1999          16              382,002     4.2
  • 2000          17              378,348     4.5
  • 2001          16              368,205     4.3
  • 2002          19              353,765     5.4
  • 2003          15              351,072     4.3
  • 2004            5              356,131     1.4
  • 2005            9              364,383     2.5
  • 2006            9              374,244     2.4

  • *In 1997 Poland converted to the new ICD 9
  • (International Classification of Disease,
  • 9th revision) definition of CP